Consultancy Firm to Conduct an Integrated Baseline Study and M&E/MRV Systems Ass

A. Baseline study

The consulting firm will:

•        Review the proposal, logframe and theory of change, including an assessment of the realism and testability of key assumptions underpinning the theory of change, M&E/MRV provisions, and related annexes. The approved project logframe and indicator framework, theory of change and M&E/MRV framework documents are attached to this TOR and the solicitation as Annexes III

•        Review and provide technical recommendations on the existing baseline framework and indicator measurement approach.

•        Confirm the indicators to be baselined at inception and define operational definitions, data sources, units of measure, disaggregation, and calculation methods.

•        Generate baseline data on selected impact, outcome and output indicators from the logframe, including indicators requiring sex, age, disability and other disaggregation. The consulting firm shall propose a statistically defensible sampling strategy capable of generating representative baseline estimates for key farmer-level indicators. The methodology shall clearly explain:

◦        target population estimates;

◦        sampling frame construction;

◦        sample size calculations;

◦        confidence level assumptions;

◦        margin of error;

◦        treatment of clustering and stratification;

◦        non-response assumptions; and

◦        feasibility of county/value-chain and sex/age/disability disaggregation.

•        Analyse the pre-project status of post-harvest losses; household income within agricultural contexts, including treatment of seasonality, recall periods, and multiple income sources; cold-chain access and use; investment conditions; policy and institutional readiness; awareness; skills; and jobs where relevant.

•        Assess availability, quality, and limitations of secondary data and identify data gaps requiring primary data collection.

B. M&E/MRV Framework assessment

The consulting firm will:

•        Assess the projects M&E/MRV system, including the results framework, indicator definitions, targets, data sources, data collection responsibilities, reporting flows and quality assurance arrangements.

•        Identify priority indicators and monitoring questions that should be tracked regularly during implementation, and recommend any refinements to indicators, targets, disaggregation or measurement approaches, with clear justification and cost/feasibility implications.

•        Recommend a practical longitudinal or repeat-measurement approach capable of supporting comparison over time, including advice on panel tracking, cohort monitoring, sentinel sites, or repeated cross-sectional methodologies.

•        Recommend immediate actions for project start-up relating to measurement, data management, adaptive management priorities and learning questions.

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